Dominance of Three Sublineages of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta Variant in Mexico (preprint)

In this study, we analyzed sequences of SARS-CoV-2 isolates of the Delta variant in Mexico, which completely replaced other previously circulating variants in the country due to its transmission advantage. Among Delta sublineages detected, 81.5 % were classified as AY.20, AY.26, and AY.100. According to publicly available data, these sublineages only reached a world prevalence of less than 1%, suggesting a possible Mexican origin. The signature mutations of these sublineages are described, and phylogenetic analyses and haplotype networks were used to track their spread across the country. Other frequently detected sublineages include AY.3, AY.62, AY.103, and AY.113. Over time, the principal sublineages showed different geographical distributions, with AY.20 predominant in Central Mexico, AY.26 in the North, and AY.100 in the Northwest and South/Southeast. This work describes the circulation, from May to November 2021, of the primary sublineages of the Delta variants associated to the third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Mexico and reinforces the importance of SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance for timely identification of emerging variants that may impact public health.

Clinical and Virological Features of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Variants in Vaccinated and Unvaccinated Patients in Mexico City (preprint)

Background: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines are very effective at protecting against severe disease and death. However, the impact of the vaccine used, viral variants, and host factors on disease severity in vaccinated individuals remain poorly understood. Here we compared COVID-19 clinical presentations and outcomes in vaccinated and unvaccinated patients in a tertiary hospital in Mexico City. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants were also determined to study their potential impact on disease severity. Methods: From March to September 2021, clinical and demographic characteristics were obtained from 1,014 individuals with a documented SARS-CoV-2 infection, and viral variants were identified in a subset of 386 patients. We compared three groups of patients: 1) unvaccinated, 2) partially vaccinated, and 3) fully vaccinated, stratifying by age groups (<30 years, 31-60 years, and > 61 years) on the clinical outcomes, and including in-hospital mortality. We fitted different multivariate statistical models to evaluate the impact of vaccination status, SARS-CoV-2 lineages, vaccine types, and clinical parameters. Results: 1,014 patients were included, with 11% being outpatients and 88% hospitalized. Most hospitalized patients were unvaccinated. In patients over 61 years old, mortality was significantly higher in unvaccinated compared to fully vaccinated individuals. In patients aged 31 to 60 years, vaccinated patients were more likely to be outpatients (46%) than unvaccinated individuals (6.1%). The percentage of critical patients over 61 years was higher in unvaccinated than vaccinated individuals (75% vs. 56%, p < 0.001). We found immune disease (OR: 3.12, 95% CI: 1.09-8.34, p = 0.02) and age above 61 years old (OR: 3.51, 95% CI: 2.3-5.2, p = 5.9e-10) as risk factors. While fully vaccination was found as the most protective factor against in-hospital death (OR: 0.25, 95% CI: 0.12-0.46, p = 2.89e-05). Conclusions: This study suggests that vaccination and particularly full vaccination is essential to reduce mortality in a comorbid population such as that of Mexico. When analyzing the presence of comorbidities and advanced ages as risk factors, complete vaccination was the most significant protective factor against death by COVID-19. We found no strong association between SARS-CoV-2 lineages or vaccine type and disease severity.

Antibody and memory B-cell immunity in a heterogeneously SARS-CoV-2 infected and vaccinated population (preprint)

Global population immunity to SARS-CoV-2 is accumulating through heterogenous combinations of infection and vaccination. Vaccine distribution in low- and middle-income countries has been variable and reliant on diverse vaccine platforms. We studied B-cell immunity in Mexico, a middle-income country where five different vaccines have been deployed to populations with high SARS-CoV-2 incidence. Levels of antibodies that bound a stabilized prefusion spike trimer, neutralizing antibody titers and memory B-cell expansion correlated with each other across vaccine platforms. Nevertheless, the vaccines elicited variable levels of B-cell immunity, and the majority of recipients had undetectable neutralizing activity against the recently emergent omicron variant. SARS-CoV-2 infection, experienced prior to or after vaccination potentiated B-cell immune responses and enabled the generation of neutralizing activity against omicron and SARS-CoV for all vaccines in nearly all individuals. These findings suggest that broad population immunity to SARS-CoV-2 will eventually be achieved, but by heterogenous paths

DEVELOPMENT AND TESTING OF A LOW-COST INACTIVATION BUFFER THAT ALLOWS DIRECT SARS-COV-2 DETECTION IN SALIVA (preprint)

Massive testing is a cornerstone in efforts to effectively track infections and stop COVID-19 transmission, including places where good vaccination coverage has been achieved. However, SARS-CoV-2 testing by RT-qPCR requires specialized personnel, protection equipment, commercial kits, and dedicated facilities, which represent significant challenges for massive testing implementation in resource-limited settings. It is therefore important to develop testing protocols that facilitate implementation and are inexpensive, fast, and sufficiently sensitive. In this work, we optimized the composition of a buffer (PKTP) containing a protease, a detergent, and an RNase inhibitor, that is compatible with the RT-qPCR chemistry, allowing for direct testing of SARS-CoV-2 from saliva in an RNA extraction-independent manner. This buffer is compatible with heat-inactivation reducing the biohazard risk of handling the samples. We assessed the PKTP buffer performance in comparison to the RNA-extraction-based protocol of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in saliva samples from 70 COVID-19 patients finding a good sensitivity (82.2% for the N1 and 84.4% for the N2 target, respectively) and correlations (R=0.77, p<0.001 for N1, and R=0.78, p<0.001 for N2). We also propose an auto-collection protocol for saliva samples and a multiplex reaction to reduce the number of PCR reactions per patient and further reduce overall costs while maintaining diagnostic standards in favor of massive testing.

Role of Tissue Inhibitor of Metalloproteinases-2 and Insulin Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 7 for Early Recognition of Acute Kidney Injury in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients (preprint)

Background: A high proportion of critically ill patients with COVID-19 develop acute kidney injury (AKI) and die. Early recognition of subclinical AKI could contribute to AKI prevention. Therefore, this study was aimed at exploring the role of the urinary biomarkers NGAL and [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] for early detection of AKI in this population. Methods: : This prospective, longitudinal cohort study included critically ill COVID-19 patients without AKI at study entry. Urine samples were collected on admission to critical care areas for determination of NGAL and [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] concentrations. Demographic information, comorbidities, clinical and laboratory data were recorded. The study outcomes were development of AKI and mortality during hospitalization. Comparisons of individuals who developed AKI during hospitalization vs. those without AKI were made using chi-squared test for categorical variables and Mann-Whitney U for continuous variables. Urinary biomarkers and their cutoff values were selected based on the highest sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve with 95% confidence intervals for prediction of AKI. Selected biomarkers and cutoffs were used in the Kaplan-Meier survival analyses for the time to AKI. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the association between relevant covariates with AKI and mortality. For all analyses, two-sided P values £0.05 were considered statistically significant. Results: : Of the 51 individuals studied, 25 developed AKI during hospitalization (49%). The risk factors for AKI were male gender (HR=7.57, 95% CI: 1.28-44.8; p=0.026) and [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] ³ 0.2 (ng/ml) 2 /1000 (HR=7.23 , 95% CI: 0.99-52.4; p=0.050). Mortality during hospitalization was significantly higher in the group with AKI than in the group without AKI (p=0.004). Persistent AKI was a risk factor for mortality (HR=7.42, 95% CI: 1.04-53.04; p=0.046). Conclusions: : The combination of [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7], together with clinical information, were useful for identification of subclinical AKI in critically ill COVID-19 patients. The role of additional biomarkers and their possible combinations for detection of AKI in critically ill COVID-19 patients remains to be explored in large clinical trials.

Inexpensive workflow for simultaneous monitoring of HIV viral load and detection of SARS-CoV-2 infection (preprint)

BackgroundCOVID-19 pandemic interrupted routine care for individuals living with HIV, putting them at risk of becoming virologically unsuppressed and ill. Often they are at high risk for exposure to SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe disease once infected. For this population, it is urgent to closely monitor HIV plasma viral load (VL) and screen for SARS-COV-2 infection. MethodWe have developed a non-proprietary method to isolate RNA from plasma, nasal secretions (NS), or both. HIV, SARS-CoV-2, and human RP targets in extracted RNA are then RT-qPCR to estimate the VL and classify HIV/SARS-CoV-2 status (i.e., HIV as VL failure or suppressed; SARS-CoV-2 as positive, presumptive positive, negative, or indeterminate). We evaluated this workflow on 133 clinical specimens: 40 plasma specimens (30 HIV-seropositive), 67 NS specimens (31 SARS-CoV-2-positive), and 26 pooled plasma/NS specimens (26 HIV-positive with 10 SARS-CoV-2-positive), and compared the results obtained using the in-house extraction to those using a commercial extraction kit. ResultsIn-house extraction had a detection limit of 200-copies/mL for HIV and 100-copies/mL for SARS-CoV-2. In-house and commercial methods yielded positively correlated HIV VL (R2: 0.98 for contrived samples; 0.81 for seropositive plasma). SARS-CoV-2 detection had 100% concordant classifications in contrived samples, and in clinical NS extracted by in-house method, excluding indeterminate results, was 95% concordant (25 positives, 6 presumptive positives, and 31 negatives) to those using the commercial method. Analysis of pooled plasma/NS showed R2 of 0.91 (contrived samples) and 0.71 (clinical specimens) for HIV VL correlations obtained by both extraction methods, while SARS-CoV-2 detection showed 100% concordance in contrived and clinical specimens. InterpretationOur low-cost workflow for molecular testing of HIV and SARS-CoV-2 could serve as an alternative to current standard assays for laboratories in low-resource settings.

Seroepidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 in Healthcare Personnel Working at the Largest Tertiary COVID-19 Referral Hospitals in Mexico City (preprint)

Background: We performed a longitudinal SARS-CoV-2 seroepidemiologic study in healthcare personnel of the two largest tertiary referral hospitals in Mexico City. Methods: Participants answered a computer-assisted self-administered interview and donated blood samples for antibody testing every three weeks from October 2020 to June 2021. Findings: 290/883 participants had a positive result in any of the antibody tests, yielding an overall adjusted prevalence in the study period of 33·5%. 235 positive tests were identified at baseline (prevalent cases), the remaining 55 positive tests were incident cases. Prevalent cases showed associations with both occupational (institution 2 vs. 1: adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=2·24, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1·54, 3·25; laboratory technician vs. medical doctor: aOR=4·38, 95% CI: 1·75, 10·93) and community risk (municipality of residence Xochimilco vs. Tlalpan: aOR=2·03, 95% CI: 1·09, 3·79). The incidence rate was 3·0 cases per 100 person-months. Incident cases were mainly associated with community-acquired risk, due to contact with suspect/confirmed COVID-19 cases (HR=2·45, 95% CI: 1·21, 5·00).Interpretation: We observed similar level of exposure to SARS-CoV-2 in healthcare workers of the two largest tertiary COVID-19 referral centers in Mexico City to the general population. Most variables associated with exposure in this setting pointed toward community rather than occupational risk.Funding: Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACyT) (Fondo FORDECYT-PRONACES) and the Mexican Government (Programa Presupuestal P016; Anexo 13 del Decreto del Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación).Declaration of Interest: None to declare. Ethical Approval: The study was reviewed and approved by the Institutional Review Boards of both participating institutions.

EVALUATION OF A RAPID ANTIGEN TEST FOR SARS-COV-2 IN SYMPTOMATIC PATIENTS AND THEIR CONTACTS: A MULTICENTER STUDY (preprint)

BACKGROUND Point-of-care rapid tests to identify SARS-CoV-2 can be of great help because, in principle, they allow decisions to be made at the site of care for treatment, or for the separation of cohorts avoiding cross-infection, especially in emergency situations. METHODS A cross sectional study in adults requesting care in Emergency Rooms (ER), or the outpatient clinics of referral hospitals for COVID-19, to define the diagnostic characteristics of a rapid antigen test for SARS-CoV-2 (the Abbott PanbioTM) having as a gold standard the RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2. Health personnel in a routine situation within an active pandemic in several cities of Mexico performed the tests. RESULTS A total of 1,069 participants with a mean age of 47 years (SD 16 years), 47% with a self-reported comorbidity, and an overall prevalence of a positive RT-PCR test of 45%, were recruited from eight hospitals in Mexico. Overall sensitivity of the Panbio test was 54.4% (95%CI 51-57) with a positive likelihood ratio of 35.7, a negative likelihood ratio of 0.46 and a Receiver-Operating Characteristics curve area of 0.77. Positivity for the rapid test depended strongly on an estimate of the viral load (Cycle threshold of RT-PCR, Ct), and the days of symptoms. With a Ct 25, sensitivity of the rapid test was 0.82 (95%CI, 0.76-0.87). For patients during the first week of symptoms sensitivity was 69.6% (95%CI 66-73). On the other hand, specificity of the rapid test was above 97.8% in all groups. CONCLUSIONS The PanbioTM rapid antigen test for SARS-CoV-2 has a good specificity, but due to low and heterogeneous sensitivity in real life, a negative test in a person with suggestive symptoms at a time of community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 requires confirmation with RT-PCR, and after the first week of symptoms, sensitivity decreases considerably.

Dysbiosis and structural disruption of the respiratory microbiota in COVID-19 patients with severe and fatal outcomes (preprint)

COVID-19 outbreak has caused over 3 million deaths worldwide. Understanding disease pathology and the factors that drive severe and fatal clinical outcomes is of special relevance. Studying the role of the respiratory microbiota in COVID-19 is particularly important since it’s known that the respiratory microbiota interacts with the host immune system, contributing to clinical outcomes in chronic and acute respiratory diseases. Here, we characterized the microbiota in the respiratory tract of patients with mild, severe, or fatal COVID-19, and compared with healthy controls and patients with non-COVID-19-pneumonia. We comparatively studied the microbial composition, diversity, and microbiota structure across study groups and correlated the results with clinical data. We found differences in diversity and abundance of bacteria between groups, higher levels of dysbiosis in the respiratory microbiota of COVID-19 patients (regardless of severity level), differences in diversity structure among mild, severe, and fatal COVID-19, and the presence of specific bacteria that correlated with clinical variables associated with increased mortality risk. Our data suggest that host-related and environmental factors could be affecting the respiratory microbiota before SARS-CoV-2 infection, potentially compromising the immunological response of the host against disease and promoting secondary bacterial infections. For instance, the high levels of dysbiosis coupled with low microbial structural complexity in the respiratory microbiota of COVID-19 patients, possibly resulted from antibiotic uptake and comorbidities, could have consequences for the host and microbial community level. Altogether, our findings identify the respiratory microbiota as a potential factor associated with COVID-19 severity.

Emergence and spread of the potential variant of interest (VOI) B.1.1.519 predominantly present in Mexico. (preprint)

SARS-CoV-2 variants have emerged in late 2020 and there are at least three variants of concern (B.1.1.7, B.1.351, P1) reported by WHO. These variants have several substitutions in the Spike protein that affect receptor binding; they present increased transmissibility and may be associated with reduced vaccine effectiveness. In the present work, we are reporting the identification of a potential variant of interest harboring the mutations T478K, P681H, and T732A in the Spike protein, within the newly named lineage B.1.1.519, which rapidly outcompeted the preexisting variants in Mexico and has been the dominant virus in the country during the first trimester of 2021.

Acute kidney injury in patients with severe COVID-19 in Mexico (preprint)

Introduction: Some patients with COVID-19 pneumonia present systemic disease involving multiple systems. There is limited information about the clinical characteristics and events leading to acute kidney injury (AKI). We described the factors associated with the development of AKI and explored the relation of AKI and mortality in Mexican population with severe COVID-19. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of individuals with severe pneumonia caused by SARS-CoV-2 hospitalized at the largest third-level reference institution for COVID-19 care in Mexico between March and April 2020. Demographic information, comorbidities, clinical and laboratory data, dates of mechanical ventilation and hospitalization, mechanical-ventilator settings and use of vasoactive drugs were recorded. Results: Of 99 patients studied, 58 developed AKI (58.6%). The group with AKI had higher body mass index (p=0.0003) and frequency of obesity (p=0.001); a higher requirement of invasive mechanical ventilation (p=0.008) and vasoactive drugs (p=0.004); greater levels of serum creatinine (p<0.001) and D-dimer on admission (p<0.001); and lower lymphocyte counts (p=0.001) than the non-AKI group. The multivariate analysis indicated that risk factors for AKI were obesity (adjusted hazard ratio (HR)=2.71, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.33-5.51, p=0.005); higher serum creatinine (HR=1.44, CI=1.02-2.02, p=0.035) and D-dimer levels on admission (HR=1.14, CI=1.06-1.23, p<0.001). In-hospital mortality was higher in the AKI group than in the non-AKI group (65.5% vs. 14.6%; p=0.001). Conclusions: AKI was common in our cohort of patients with severe COVID-19 and it was associated with mortality. The risk factors for AKI were obesity, elevated creatinine levels and higher D-dimer levels on admission. Key words: Acute kidney injury; AKI; acute renal failure; COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2.

Genomic analysis of early SARS-CoV-2 strains introduced in Mexico (preprint)

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected most countries in the world. Studying the evolution and transmission patterns in different countries is crucial to implement effective strategies for disease control and prevention. In this work, we present the full genome sequence for 17 SARS-CoV-2 isolates corresponding to the earliest sampled cases in Mexico. Global and local phylogenomics, coupled with mutational analysis, consistently revealed that these viral sequences are distributed within 2 known lineages, the SARS-CoV-2 lineage A/G, containing mostly sequences from North America, and the lineage B/S containing mainly sequences from Europe. Based on the exposure history of the cases and on the phylogenomic analysis, we characterized fourteen independent introduction events. Additionally, three cases with no travel history were identified. We found evidence that two of these cases represent local transmission cases occurring in Mexico during mid-March 2020, denoting the earliest events described in the country. Within this Mexican cluster, we also identified an H49Y amino acid change in the spike protein. This mutation is a homoplasy occurring independently through time and space, and may function as a molecular marker to follow on any further spread of these viral variants throughout the country. Our results depict the general picture of the SARS-CoV-2 variants introduced at the beginning of the outbreak in Mexico, setting the foundation for future surveillance efforts. This work is the result of the collaboration of five institutions into one research consortium: three public health institutes and two universities. From the beginning of this work, it was agreed that the experimental leader of each institution would share the first authorship. Those were the criteria followed to assign first co-first authorship in this manuscript. The order of the other authors was randomly assigned. IMPORTANCEUnderstanding the introduction, spread and establishment of SARS-CoV-2 within distinct human populations is crucial to implement effective control strategies as well as the evolution of the pandemics. In this work, we describe that the initial virus strains introduced in Mexico came from Europe and the United States and the virus was circulating locally in the country as early as mid-March. We also found evidence for early local transmission of strains having the mutation H49Y in the Spike protein, that could be further used as a molecular marker to follow viral spread within the country and the region.